Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002616 0.002788 0.002973 0.003188 0.003433 0.003705 0.004035
2025-01-26 0.002238 0.002450 0.002690 0.002986 0.003347 0.003780 0.004354
2025-02-02 0.002091 0.002339 0.002632 0.003011 0.003503 0.004139 0.005068
2025-02-09 0.002013 0.002293 0.002636 0.003101 0.003740 0.004631 0.006076
2025-02-16 0.001920 0.002217 0.002591 0.003114 0.003867 0.004988 0.006989
2025-02-23 0.001880 0.002201 0.002617 0.003221 0.004137 0.005607 0.008584
2025-03-02 0.001792 0.002116 0.002541 0.003175 0.004167 0.005840 0.009553
2025-03-09 0.001704 0.002023 0.002449 0.003092 0.004125 0.005938 0.010274
2025-03-16 0.001672 0.002004 0.002455 0.003156 0.004327 0.006527 0.012596
2025-03-23 0.001640 0.001982 0.002455 0.003207 0.004515 0.007141 0.015643
2025-03-30 0.001587 0.001927 0.002402 0.003170 0.004538 0.007412 0.017879
2025-04-06 0.001521 0.001852 0.002316 0.003072 0.004437 0.007372 0.018810
2025-04-13 0.001478 0.001810 0.002282 0.003064 0.004519 0.007832 0.023327
2025-04-20 0.001390 0.001701 0.002142 0.002872 0.004224 0.007281 0.021215
2025-04-27 0.001363 0.001678 0.002131 0.002895 0.004357 0.007889 0.028418
2025-05-04 0.001353 0.001679 0.002154 0.002978 0.004628 0.009013 0.049679
2025-05-11 0.001327 0.001654 0.002138 0.002990 0.004749 0.009761 0.086679
2025-05-18 0.001321 0.001660 0.002169 0.003089 0.005085 0.011501 1.612861
2025-05-25 0.001286 0.001620 0.002125 0.003046 0.005080 0.011928 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001246 0.001572 0.002065 0.002969 0.004982 0.011912 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001236 0.001568 0.002076 0.003028 0.005234 0.013736 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001224 0.001560 0.002081 0.003076 0.005467 0.015830 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001197 0.001530 0.002047 0.003042 0.005473 0.016593 NaN